Top Picks for Week 13

Ok fantasy players let’s get this final week of the fantasy regular season off right. For some of you it may be a must win others you are already have a playoff spot locked in. This week for me is a must win because I want the first round bye. In order for that to happen I need the first place guy to lose or tie. Before I kick this week off fully I’d like to recap last week where I picked 2 out of 3 Chad Henne and Ryan Broyles. Both players had solid showings where Henne threw 17-26 for 261 yards and 2 touchdowns while also tossing a pair of picks, but still ended the day with 23 fantasy points which happened to be higher than Payton Manning and Aaron Rodgers and Broyles caught half of his 12 targets for a 6 catches and 126 yard day not bad for a fill in player. Now let’s get this final regular season week started.

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This week I’m going to where the sky is the limit at Mile-High with Knowshon Moreno of Denver. Last week after coming off injury and filling in for the injured McGhee, Moreno had 20 carries for 85 yards and catching all four of his targets for 26 yards. Moreno’s season is a bust since he hasn’t played since week 2 where he only had 8 carries for 15 yards and a touchdown. Look for Moreno to finish out the rest of the season making up for lost time. Moreno is a strong pass blocker so between running the ball and catching the ball Moreno should see a lot of time on the field. Tampa Bay has the league’s best run defense, but look for Denver to have a balanced attack of running and throwing the ball. Worst case is Moreno sees more targets in the passing game than carries. Payton Manning is a quarterback that knows how to use all his options to move the ball down the field. I’ll be a little bold to say Moreno runs for about 65 yards and a touchdown while catching around a 4-6 passes for another 40-50 yards. I’ve already placed Moreno as my flex player this week.

photo by Zimbio.com

Again I’m heading to the Motor City, this time for a tight end. Brandon Pettigrew is a tight end that definitely gets his looks. Last week he was targeted 15 times, that’s more targets than almost every wide-out last week. He had 8 catches last week for 74 yards. The only downside to Pettigrew is that he tends to fumble the ball or drop passes, but Stafford has a good relationship with his tight end because he still goes to him when he needs to. Look for Pettigrew to continue to get his looks against the Colts. Pettigrew is projected to have an 11 point day and if he gets the looks he did against Houston then he’ll definitely hit that mark and possibly reach the end zone this week.

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In third place comes a back that could surprise people this week and that back comes from the sunshine state of Florida and the Jaguars. Rashad Jennings hasn’t made the most out of his opportunities but look for a change this week against a Buffalo team that has given up some points to opposing running backs. MJD is still likely to be out and Parmele on IR the running duties are on Jennings to shine. While Jennings is only averaging 2.8 yards a carry that will probably move closer to 5 yards a carry against that Bills front seven and due to an increase of carries. I have used Jennings in the past and he had fair day as a fill-in player when I needed one because of injury which my team has had its fair share of lately. Jennings has a very good opportunity to punch one in this week which I fully believe he will to reach that high projection he was given of 17. I would be more likely to say he’ll be around 14 points by the end of the day. 

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One thing I have never done on a post is pick a defense/special team but this year has been a crazy year where D/ST have been putting up numbers better than some running backs or wide-outs. So this week its a go for broke week and I'm rolling with the Arizona Cardinals verse the leagues' 28th ranked passing offense in the N.Y. Jets. The Jets season has been horrible to say the least. While the Cardinals defense is only projected 7 points it would not surprise anyone if they hit double digits in the first half. 



 Please leave a comment or ask questions. Have a great final week of the regular season!!!!

Turkey Weekend Top 3 Picks

This week was a shorter week since we have Thanksgiving, which makes for some early match ups that can yield some early out the gate starters. Since Gronk went down last week at least one team in every league is looking for a tight end. Well you are in luck if this is you.





Pic from Google Images

My first pick this week is someone I'm sure you have heard very little about since he is on the waiver wire and that is Marcedes Lewis of Jacksonville. While he is projected to have only 7 points Chad Henne went to him 3 times for 40 yards and 2 touchdowns which against a solid Houston defense is good. It shows he isn't heavily targeted but Henne has been in the league long enough to see how good quarterbacks use their tight ends. Look for Lewis to get those looks when the Jags get into the red zone which they should do regularly against Tennessee. Also keep in mind that Lewis is be far not a Gronk and will not put up the points Gronk can, but he is a solid fill in player for at least this week.

 

 



photo from Sports Illustrated

My second pick is also from the Jaguars and that Chad Henne. Henne had an explosive game to say the least against the Texans. Henne shelled the Texans for 354 yards and 4 touchdowns. Yes 4 touchdowns from a defense that has only had one other game this season that they gave up 3 or more touchdowns to and that was a week 6 match up verse a future Hall of Fame quarterback named Aaron Rogers. So Henne and the Jags should be very happy with that. While this week the Jags and company are not playing Houston they are playing the Titans who give up about 260 yards and 2 touchdowns a game making Henne a good sleeper pick if your like me dealing with losing Big Ben.

My third pick this week comes from the motor city. Ryan Broyles is a good use this week since Young is suspended and Burleson is on IR. Broyles has had solid games against teams with solid to good defenses. Also since Calvin Johnson (aka Megatron) requires so much respect for his talent Broyles will have the number 2 corner on him. Since Detroit is playing those same Texans that gave up 4 touchdowns to Chad Henne look for Stafford to go to the air early and often. The Lions are a better team than the Jaguars talent wise so Broyles may only be projected 10 points he'll probably end the day a little farther north of that number.

 

 

Don't forget to leave a comment or ask questions about other players. Have a great Thanksgiving weekend everyone. Good Luck!!

 



5 Players To Look At This Week

Last week I didn't have such a great week but I'm back at it again. This week I found 5 players to start, sit or use caution with.

Photo from www.sfexaminer.com

My starter this week is Carson Palmer of Oakland. I'm sure some of you think I've lost my mind but just hear me out. Over the past 2 weeks Palmer has put up 782 yards and 6 TD's against not great but solid defenses in Tampa Bay and Baltimore. A downside though is he does turn the ball over. Even with that Palmer is averaging 33 points over the same 2 week span. If any of you are like me and need a QB since Big Ben, Vick, Cutler, & Smith all went down Palmer may be a perfect fill in for a week or two. New Orleans averages 27.9 points a game to opposing QB's The Saints defense has only had 3 games this season where the opposing QB has scored 25 or fewer points. Lastly, the Saints secondary isn't the best giving up and average of 322 yards a game.

My second pick this week is Jeremy Kerley of the New York Jets. Now I know you think I'm crazy. Kerley is a Jet and they are terrible this year but some weeks they are worth the start and this week is one of them. While Kerley is ranked 40th among starting wide outs he averages a little over 11 points a game. Kerley is one of about 3 Jets that are worth a look this week. The Rams secondary is a middle of the road team giving up 31.8 points a week to opposing wide outs. With Kerley as the clear number 1 receiver on the team and little or no production out of any of the other wide outs he should have a great game and even make it into the end zone.

My third player to look at this week is Jamaal Charles of the Kansas City Chiefs. He ripped it off a 100 yard game against a weak left sided Steeler D, he has the potential to have repeat performance against the league's 26th ranked defense in Cincinnati. If the DaBoll remembers his game plan from last week and seen how effective Charles was he'll dial up run and pass plays that put the ball in the veterans' hands so he can do what he does...... move the chains.

This we I have a caution player which happens to be Steven Jackson of St. Louis. Last week he had the best game of the season which gained him 20 points in my league against a good forty-niner defense. I however don't see him repeated that even against a sub-par Jet defense. I consider what happened last week a off week for a good defense. The only thing that could allow Jackson to have a great game is the fact that Amendola is back and now the Rams aren't a one dimensional team. 

Lastly, comes my last caution pick of Josh Freeman while he was red hot coming off the bye week he has started to slow down over the past few weeks. One great thing about Freeman is that he doesn't turn the ball over. While Freeman could have solid day I don't see him having the kind of game he has had in the last few weeks. I could see him having a game with about 250 yards passing and 2 TD's which is close to his projection, but then the factor of the Carolina defense gets added in which only gives up 17.8 points a game and is the league's 10th best passing defense. It'll take a good running game from Doug Martin (which put up 95 yards against Carolina in the first meeting) only to open up the passing lanes for Freeman. Also something to look at is Freeman only had 138 yards passing and 1 TD in the season opener at home. 

Have a great game this week and please feel free to leave me comments.

Top 4 Start'ems With a Side of 2 Sit'ems

This week I managed to find 4 good starters. But before I get into that I would like to say I have seen quite a few views of my blog but yet not a single comment. I encourage you to leave comments to let me know how your season is going and how my advice is assisting in your domination in your fantasy league. I write this blog because I love fantasy football I'm nowhere near gifted enough to play in the NFL so I choose to break down the play of the players that can. So now its on to what you have been waiting for:

My sleeper pick is Kenny Britt of Tennessee. Last year I had Britt until he tore his ACL. He was a monster at the wide out position. This year he is off to a slow start, but how can you blame him when coming back off knee surgery and not having the best support at the quarterback position. I can see Britt having a good day against Miami. The Dolphins are terrible against the pass averaging just over 40 points a game to opposing wide outs. The Dolphins gave up 313 yards to Indy. I can expect that to continue Sunday when Britt and company come to town.

My second pick this week is Vincent Jackson of Tampa Bay. San Diego is giving up 33 points to wide outs this year. Even though the last two weeks the Charger D has shown up to play they have been playing lesser opponents in Cleveland and Kansas City. Josh Freemen is still tearing it up right now even he would be a solid starter this week. Jackson is projected 21 points this week and should have a great day targeted early and often against his former squad.

Coming in at the number 3 spot is Josh Freeman of Tampa Bay. Freeman has two big weapons on the outside in Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams and one big weapon in the backfield in Doug Martin. The linebackers will have to stay closer to the line of scrimmage which should open passing lanes for Freeman to find his wide outs.






My last pick this week is Roddy White of Atlanta. New Orleans is giving up 44 points a game to wide outs this year. White is averaging 17 points a game this year and is still a starter type receiver and one of Matt Ryan's go to targets. White should have a great day against a weaker Saints secondary.









Now comes my Sit'em section.

Starting it off is Percy Harvin of Minnesota. Even though he is considered doubtful if he is active you should sit'em since his ankle can not be near 60% after suffering a sprain in 3 different spots.

My last pick to sit the week out is C.J. Spiller. Last meeting against New England Spiller had only 4 points. Since New England has added to their secondary means the linebackers can stay closer to the line of scrimmage to shut down Spiller and Jackson. Spiller may be projected 14 points this week I don't see that happening against a rested New England D.

Last week I had another solid week of picks but again let me know how these picks work for you.
Thanks and have a great weekend in Fantasy Football.

BOLD Pick for Week 9

Picture from google images

As I said earlier in the week I would make a bold pick. Well here it is Mick Vick of Phi. Even though he has had some terrible games and turned the ball over I still think he is going to have a great game. The New Orleans Defense is very giving to opposing QB's. They are plus 7.6 points compared to the NFL avg. Even though he only had one TD last week against ATL, he put 191 yards. I can Vick putting up at least 250 yards and having 2 TD's one possibly as a rushing TD




picture from google images

One other player I like this week is Malcom Floyd of SD. While Floyd is only averaging 11 points a game right now, he is SD's only 100% healthy wide out. Even though Floyd only had 2 catches for 23 yards in the earlier game this season against KC, Floyd will get his targets from Phillip Rivers. Look at Floyd to have a solid day against KC.


Week 9 Start'm and Sit'm

This week there are a lot of match-ups that offer big points to the big name players. But I have still managed to come up with three great start'ems and two sit'ems. This Friday I will post on a "bold" pick. On my blog I don't just follow what everyone else says I look for match-ups that are there that none of the experts talk about. Now lets start with the start'ems

picture from google images

My sleeper pick this week is Sidney Rice of Seattle. While Rice has been in double digits 3 out of the last 4 weeks he has a good opportunity against a Minnesota team that averages 30 fantasy points to opposing wide outs. Also I see the Seahawks having more time to move the ball since Ponder has turned the ball over 8 times in the last 4 weeks. I think Wilson will try to get Rice the ball against his former team.



Next comes Willis McGahee of Denver. McGahee should have a solid day against a Bengals defense that allows 25.9 fantasy points to running backs. With Payton Manning running the offense and showing he still has what it takes to play, the Broncos will have a balanced game plan that will allow McGahee to get his carries.

My last pick for the start'ems is Josh Freeman of Tampa Bay. Freeman is playing great since his bye week 3 weeks ago. Freeman has an average of 33 fantasy points the last 3 weeks after starting off middle of the road. Freeman has taken care of the ball the 3 weeks as well with only 1 int while have 9 td's. Oakland's defense has an avg of 22 points to QB's but look at Freeman to run the ball if he has to in goal line situations.

Now for the bad news of the sit'ems starting off with Pierre Thomas of New Orleans. Thomas has had dismal season to say the least. Thomas is averaging only 8 fantasy points a game. That is a terrible number not only for him but for a starting running back that has only 1 100 yard game and no other game above 43 yards. He is a player you may want to drop to waivers.

Next comes the Ravens D/ST. Without Ray Lewis, Webb, and a few other key defensive players this D got embarrassed against the Texans. Even though they are playing Cleveland who gave up 13 points to the Raven's in week 4 I don't see it happening again. the Raven's D will have an average day.

 Now comes my report card from last week on I'd say I picked 5 out of 7 correctly but that is only an opinion. to start off I picked Jeremy Kerley of the Jets to have a a good game, well none of the Jets had a good game Kerley ended the day with only 9 points. Next came Jennings from Jax who had 10 points against a solid GB defense so that's a toss up. Then came Richardson from STL who put up 15 against NE while Jackson from STL only had 6 points. Also I picked Big Ben from Pit to have a solid game and he put up 23 against Washington. Lastly, my two SF picks of Alex Smith and Vernon Davis both i had as a sit'em. Smith had a great game ending with 23 points and Davis not so much with only 4 points. Check my Friday post for my bold prediction.

Week 8 Top Picks

After my first post I looked to see what changes I could make to this weeks post. This week I will do players you should start and players you should sit. As well as review the previous weeks picks. So starting with the players you should start:

picture from google images

Up first is my sleeper pick of Jeremy Kerley of the NY Jets. I picked him because the Jets are looking for a go to receiver since no other wide out on the Jets can be #1 receiver. He put up 120 yds on the Pats last week and in the Jets first meeting against the Dolphins MIA gave up 236 yds and 41 fantasy pts to the Jets wide outs. Kerley is a good option not only as a starter but a great option for a sub for a bye week starter.


My second pick is Rashard Jennings of the Jags. Since MoJo (MJD) is out he is a great pick up verse a Green Bay D that gives up an average of 19 fantasy pts to RB's. Also Green Bay has given up 80+ yds rushing in 6 of the last 7 games. Making Jennings a must start.

My third pick is Daryl Richardson of STL. He is averaging 5.1yds a carry and 10.2 yds a reception. Against a New England D that has only had 1 100 yd rusher this yr still gives up fantasy pts to opposing running backs. Look at Richardson as a sub player.

My last pick this week is Big Ben of Pit. Even though Big Ben has had some issues the last few weeks after a big game against Oakland he's a great start against a Washington D that gives up 300+ yds and at least 2 TD's a game to QB's.

My sit'em start with Alex Smith of SF. Arizona's D is nasty to opposing QB's ask Tom Brady. The AZ D on average only gives up 14 fantasy pts to QB's. With it being in the middle of your fantasy season this may be one risk you may want to avoid.

My second sit'em is Steven Jackson of STL. Jackson is only averaging 8.3 fantasy pts a game right now and that is not the type of number you want to have at the end of a game from a starter. No injury report suggests why Jackson is struggling this year but he should be worried with having back-ups like Richardson behind him.

My last sit'em is Vernon Davis of SF. Again like before AZ's D is just plain mean to TE's except the New England TE's. The AZ D is allowing a mare 6.71 fantasy pts to TE's this year. Also the last 2 weeks Davis has only put up 6 pts on teams that have solid D's.

Last week I picked Brandon Gibson of STL to be a sleeper pick he put up 11 pts which isn't bad for a fill-in receiver especially since Calvin Johnson of Det only had 6 pts. Also I mentioned starting Fred Jackson of Buf. He had a monster game putting up 25 fantasy pts. My third pick was Ahmad Bradshaw of NYG. He had a solid day that ended up 16 fantasy pts which is respectable for any starter especially with having a foot injury.



Have a great week players